A weighted composite of five geopolitical stress factors, recalculated every six hours. Updated 02 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
67.6
Elevated
0 = calm · 100 = crisis
Global risk stands at 67.6 — Elevated.
▲ 0.0
24-hour
▲ 0.0
30-day
445
readings logged
Component sub-indices · weighted
Theater Instability
conflict-tempo · weight 0.270
100
Critical
Humanitarian Crisis
civilian-impact · weight 0.230
0
Calm
Economic Pressure
sanctions-intensity · weight 0.200
80
Critical
Political Isolation
diplomatic-breakdown · weight 0.150
100
Critical
Information Warfare
media-escalation · weight 0.150
64
Elevated
Composite
67.6
weighted sum of factors above
Trend · since inception
Risk by region
Region
Score
Band
Europe - Russia
93.0
Critical
Middle East & Africa
86.5
Critical
Americas
35.0
Guarded
Asia - Pacific
35.0
Guarded
Methodology.
The Fanaar Risk Index is a weighted composite of five sub-indices, each scored 0–100 from Fanaar's article pipeline, entity signals, and event stream. Recalculated every six hours. Bands: Calm (0–25) · Guarded (25–50) · Elevated (50–70) · Critical (70–100).
Intelligence, delivered.
Join analysts and decision-makers who read Fanaar.